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What the new SFM methods change for ACCU timing, transfers and market expectations

What the new SFM methods change for ACCU timing, transfers and market expectations

As the new 2026 Savanna Fire Management (SFM) methods commence, attention is turning to the pathway from method potential to realised supply. This article explains the features and constraints most likely to shape that pathway.

Updated
June 4, 2026
Published
April 20, 2026
What the new SFM methods change for ACCU timing, transfers and market expectations

What this article covers

The final 2026 Savanna Fire Management methods introduce a more conditional forward supply outlook for the ACCU market.

Market attention has naturally focused on the scale of potential uplift, but realised volume will depend on transition timing, method mechanics and how supply is released over time.

Our latest article covers the design choices behind that shift, including:

  • how Eligible Interest Holder Consent (EIHC)-linked crediting period extensions may shape which projects can transition, and how quickly any potential uplift may become realised supply
  • the role of the Sequestration Bank in phasing the release of sequestration credits over time
  • transfer and switching guardrails and why project-level outcomes may diverge under current SavCAM settings.

For anyone tracking ACCU supply, procurement timing or project transition pathways, the key takeaway is that forward supply expectations now require a closer read of timing, transition conditions and project-level variation.

The full article is now live in the CORE Markets platform.

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What the new SFM methods change for ACCU timing, transfers and market expectations

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